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Newcastle vs Sunderland Prediction & Win Probability

Newcastle has a 59% chance to win.
Final Score: Newcastle 1–2 Sunderland
Sun, Mar 22, 2026 · 12:00 PM GMT
Championship
Newcastle
12-6-12Rating 1890
Form: WWLLW
1 – 2
Model Probability
59%
Draw 23%
18%
Championship
Sunderland
10-10-10Rating 1828
Form: LWDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NewcastleStatSunderland
30Games played30
1.4Avg goals scored1.0
1.4Avg goals conceded1.2
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 33% / 33%
53% Home win % / Away win % 20%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NewcastleStatSunderland
2All-time wins (13 meetings, 4 draws)7
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
0.8Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2025-12-14): Sunderland 1–0 Newcastle