← Home / England / Championship / Matches / Derby vs Birmingham

Derby vs Birmingham Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 48% chance to win.
Final Score: Derby 1–0 Birmingham
Sat, Mar 21, 2026 · 12:30 PM GMT
Championship
Derby
16-9-13Rating 1591
Form: WLWWL
1 – 0
Model Probability
48%
Draw 26%
25%
Championship
Birmingham
14-11-13Rating 1696
Form: DWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatBirmingham
38Games played38
1.4Avg goals scored1.3
1.3Avg goals conceded1.3
42% / 24% / 34%Win / Draw / Loss37% / 29% / 34%
37% Home win % / Away win % 26%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatBirmingham
10All-time wins (23 meetings, 9 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
2.0Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2025-12-26): Birmingham 1–1 Derby