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Millwall vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability

Millwall has a 50% chance to win.
Final Score: Millwall 1–0 Derby
Tue, Mar 10, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Championship
Millwall
19-8-9Rating 1642
Form: WWWLW
1 – 0
Model Probability
50%
Draw 26%
24%
Championship
Derby
15-9-12Rating 1591
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MillwallStatDerby
36Games played36
1.4Avg goals scored1.5
1.1Avg goals conceded1.3
53% / 22% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss42% / 25% / 33%
56% Home win % / Away win % 47%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MillwallStatDerby
9All-time wins (23 meetings, 8 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (3 draws)0
1.0Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2025-12-10): Derby 1–1 Millwall