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Derby vs Swansea Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 47% chance to win.
Final Score: Derby 2–0 Swansea
Sat, Feb 14, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
Championship
Derby
12-9-10Rating 1591
Form: LWDWW
2 – 0
Model Probability
47%
Draw 27%
26%
Championship
Swansea
12-6-13Rating 1663
Form: WWLWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatSwansea
31Games played31
1.5Avg goals scored1.2
1.3Avg goals conceded1.2
39% / 29% / 32%Win / Draw / Loss39% / 19% / 42%
25% Home win % / Away win % 27%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatSwansea
5All-time wins (14 meetings, 4 draws)5
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.1Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2025-11-25): Swansea 1–2 Derby