Final Score: Capitals 2 - Lightning 5
Saturday, March 31, 2007 at 7:00 PM ET

Capitals @ Lightning

NHL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Capitals
26-52 Rating 1396
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
29%
71%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Lightning +1.6
Lightning
42-36 Rating 1521
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Capitals Lightning
All-time wins 44 29
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average goals 3.3 2.5
Last meeting 7 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Capitals Lightning
Games played 78 78
Avg goals scored 2.9 3.1
Avg goals conceded 3.6 3.2
Win percentage 33% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 26% 53%