| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 8, 2023 | 20–16 | Lions +4 | Packers +8.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 13–38 | 49ers +25 | 49ers +14.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 6–26 | Commanders +20 | Cowboys +6.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 28–31 | Broncos +3 | Chargers +4.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 16–19 | Seahawks +3 | Seahawks +5.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 16–22 | Eagles +6 | Eagles +9.4 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 17–30 | Falcons +13 | Buccaneers +3.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 16–27 | Bengals +11 | Bengals +6.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 23–35 | Bills +12 | Bills +10.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 10–7 | Panthers +3 | Saints +7.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 29–13 | Vikings +16 | Vikings +5.7 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 14–28 | Steelers +14 | Steelers +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 32–31 | Texans +1 | Colts +7.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 8, 2023 | 6–11 | Dolphins +5 | Dolphins +7.8 | Regular Season |