| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 24, 2022 | 10–13 | Steelers +3 | Steelers +3.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2022 | 34–40 | Cowboys +6 | Cowboys +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2022 | 20–37 | 49ers +17 | 49ers +11.2 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2022 | 9–17 | Ravens +8 | Ravens +9.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2022 | 35–13 | Bills +22 | Bills +8.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2022 | 23–37 | Panthers +14 | Panthers +2.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2022 | 22–18 | Bengals +4 | Bengals +2.1 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2022 | 17–10 | Saints +7 | Browns +4.4 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2022 | 19–14 | Texans +5 | Titans +12.7 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2022 | 10–24 | Chiefs +14 | Chiefs +11.0 | Regular Season | |
| Dec 24, 2022 | 24–27 | Vikings +3 | Vikings +8.9 | Regular Season |