| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 18, 2009 | 14–21 | Falcons +7 | Falcons +2.9 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 18, 2009 | 16–13 | Bills +3 | Jets +7.6 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 18, 2009 | 0–59 | Patriots +59 | Patriots +8.1 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 18, 2009 | 27–3 | Cardinals +24 | Cardinals +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 18, 2009 | 9–13 | Raiders +4 | Eagles +6.9 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 18, 2009 | 31–33 | Vikings +2 | Vikings +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 18, 2009 | 20–23 | Jaguars +3 | Jaguars +10.5 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 18, 2009 | 14–6 | Chiefs +8 | Commanders +9.6 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 18, 2009 | 27–48 | Saints +21 | Saints +1.9 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 18, 2009 | 28–17 | Texans +11 | Bengals +4.0 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 18, 2009 | 0–26 | Packers +26 | Packers +11.2 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 18, 2009 | 14–27 | Steelers +13 | Steelers +13.9 | Regular Season | |
| Oct 18, 2009 | 28–21 | Panthers +7 | Panthers +0.3 | Regular Season |