| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 2009 | 31–10 | Colts +21 | Colts +2.2 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 27, 2009 | 20–23 | Bengals +3 | Steelers +4.8 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 27, 2009 | 23–3 | Broncos +20 | Broncos +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 27, 2009 | 13–23 | Chargers +10 | Chargers +7.9 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 27, 2009 | 25–19 | Bears +6 | Bears +0.4 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 27, 2009 | 27–7 | Saints +20 | Saints +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 27, 2009 | 31–24 | Jaguars +7 | Texans +4.0 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 27, 2009 | 24–27 | Vikings +3 | Vikings +7.2 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 27, 2009 | 17–24 | Jets +7 | Jets +2.0 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 27, 2009 | 10–26 | Patriots +16 | Patriots +6.0 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 27, 2009 | 3–34 | Ravens +31 | Ravens +13.1 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 27, 2009 | 14–19 | Lions +5 | Commanders +4.8 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 27, 2009 | 14–34 | Eagles +20 | Eagles +13.5 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 27, 2009 | 36–17 | Packers +19 | Packers +4.9 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 27, 2009 | 24–0 | Giants +24 | Giants +4.2 | Regular Season |