| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 2009 | 33–31 | Giants +2 | Cowboys +2.0 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 20, 2009 | 31–26 | Ravens +5 | Chargers +2.6 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 20, 2009 | 14–17 | Bears +3 | Steelers +3.6 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 20, 2009 | 6–27 | Broncos +21 | Broncos +5.2 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 20, 2009 | 20–33 | Bills +13 | Bills +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 20, 2009 | 10–23 | 49ers +13 | 49ers +2.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 20, 2009 | 48–22 | Saints +26 | Eagles +7.7 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 20, 2009 | 31–17 | Cardinals +14 | Jaguars +1.9 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 20, 2009 | 27–13 | Vikings +14 | Vikings +6.9 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 20, 2009 | 34–31 | Texans +3 | Titans +8.1 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 20, 2009 | 20–28 | Falcons +8 | Falcons +4.4 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 20, 2009 | 31–24 | Bengals +7 | Packers +7.6 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 20, 2009 | 7–9 | Commanders +2 | Commanders +10.0 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 20, 2009 | 9–16 | Jets +7 | Patriots +2.2 | Regular Season | |
| Sep 20, 2009 | 13–10 | Raiders +3 | Chiefs +1.9 | Regular Season |