| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 1, 2026 | 101–118 | Clippers +17 | Clippers +7.9 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 120–106 | Celtics +14 | Celtics +5.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 123–108 | 76ers +15 | Mavericks +3.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 118–112 | Heat +6 | Pistons +8.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 1, 2026 | 120–96 | Rockets +24 | Rockets +5.4 | Regular Season |