| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 4, 2021 | 118–124 | Bucks +6 | Bucks +4.4 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2021 | 102–99 | Hornets +3 | Pistons +0.3 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2021 | 134–118 | Suns +16 | Suns +8.7 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2021 | 127–113 | Mavericks +14 | Heat +4.2 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2021 | 103–108 | Pelicans +5 | Pelicans +3.0 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2021 | 100–105 | Clippers +5 | Clippers +9.5 | Regular Season | |
| May 4, 2021 | 103–99 | Kings +4 | Kings +2.3 | Regular Season |