Final Score: Mavericks 127 - Heat 113
Tuesday, May 4, 2021 at 7:00 PM ET

Mavericks @ Heat

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mavericks
36-28 Rating 1588
Form: LWWWL
Model Probability
38%
62%
Projected margin: Miami Heat +4.2
Heat
35-30 Rating 1584
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mavericks Heat
All-time wins 38 42
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 98.3 99.2
Last meeting 93 83

Key Season Stats

Stat Mavericks Heat
Games played 64 65
Avg points scored 111.8 107.0
Avg points conceded 110.0 107.3
Win percentage 56% 54%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 58%