| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 5, 2012 | 116–109 | Heat +7 | Heat +1.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 71–93 | Spurs +22 | Spurs +1.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 96–107 | Trail Blazers +11 | Trail Blazers +4.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 5, 2012 | 100–103 | Kings +3 | Kings +1.8 | Regular Season |