| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 4, 2012 | 70–89 | Celtics +19 | Celtics +12.5 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 118–110 | Hornets +8 | Knicks +6.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 99–83 | Bulls +16 | Bulls +4.8 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 77–92 | Raptors +15 | Raptors +3.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 89–98 | Mavericks +9 | Mavericks +8.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 83–110 | Nuggets +27 | Nuggets +10.6 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 95–101 | Spurs +6 | Spurs +7.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 89–117 | Clippers +28 | Clippers +1.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 83–118 | Heat +35 | Heat +10.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 90–86 | Grizzlies +4 | Grizzlies +4.0 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 101–93 | 76ers +8 | Pelicans +1.3 | Regular Season | |
| Jan 4, 2012 | 85–103 | Magic +18 | Magic +11.9 | Regular Season |