| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 4, 2011 | 111–104 | Thunder +7 | Hawks +3.0 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 103–107 | Celtics +4 | Celtics +11.5 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 116–103 | Nets +13 | Nets +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 84–92 | Lakers +8 | Lakers +10.0 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 89–81 | Bulls +8 | Magic +3.2 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 119–115 | Cavaliers +4 | Knicks +12.0 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 108–116 | Mavericks +8 | Mavericks +11.3 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 98–91 | Pelicans +7 | Grizzlies +7.5 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 95–125 | Spurs +30 | Spurs +4.3 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 102–88 | Suns +14 | Suns +0.8 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 4, 2011 | 100–111 | 76ers +11 | 76ers +12.5 | Regular Season |