Final Score: Heat 95 - Spurs 125
Friday, March 4, 2011 at 7:00 PM ET

Heat @ Spurs

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Heat
43-18 Rating 1767
Form: WLWLL
Model Probability
34%
66%
Projected margin: San Antonio Spurs +4.3
Spurs
50-11 Rating 1800
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Heat Spurs
All-time wins 13 33
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 89.7 95.9
Last meeting 76 88

Key Season Stats

Stat Heat Spurs
Games played 61 61
Avg points scored 101.9 103.4
Avg points conceded 94.5 96.6
Win percentage 70% 82%
Away win % / Home win % 66% 93%