| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Apr 7, 2004 | 101–104 | Heat +3 | Heat +7.3 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 7, 2004 | 82–96 | Knicks +14 | Knicks +8.3 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 7, 2004 | 74–92 | Grizzlies +18 | Grizzlies +11.0 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 7, 2004 | 111–96 | Nuggets +15 | Suns +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 7, 2004 | 81–87 | Trail Blazers +6 | Trail Blazers +5.6 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 7, 2004 | 102–79 | Rockets +23 | Rockets +2.9 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 7, 2004 | 94–90 | Pacers +4 | Pacers +7.2 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 7, 2004 | 107–116 | Bucks +9 | Bucks +9.9 | Regular Season | |
| Apr 7, 2004 | 75–96 | Spurs +21 | Spurs +11.6 | Regular Season |