| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 5, 2004 | 96–101 | Magic +5 | Magic +2.0 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2004 | 90–94 | Celtics +4 | Celtics +4.6 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2004 | 78–74 | Nets +4 | Nets +0.9 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2004 | 88–85 | Cavaliers +3 | Pelicans +5.9 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2004 | 100–113 | Spurs +13 | Spurs +5.6 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2004 | 112–109 | Rockets +3 | Timberwolves +9.2 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2004 | 96–88 | Pacers +8 | Pacers +1.5 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2004 | 91–99 | Lakers +8 | Lakers +9.7 | Regular Season | |
| Mar 5, 2004 | 109–103 | Knicks +6 | Raptors +1.2 | Regular Season |