Final Score: Lakers 129 - Warriors 101
Saturday, February 28, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET
Lakers @ Warriors
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Lakers | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 163 | 88 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 112.1 | 108.8 |
| Last meeting | 105 | 99 |
| Stat | Lakers | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 58 | 59 |
| Avg points scored | 115.5 | 115.8 |
| Avg points conceded | 115.9 | 113.8 |
| Win percentage | 59% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 60% | 63% |
Recent Results
Lakers
@ Phoenix Suns
Feb 26, 2026 · Margin: -3 · Total: 223
110-113
vs Orlando Magic
Feb 24, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 219
109-110
vs Boston Celtics
Feb 22, 2026 · Margin: -22 · Total: 200
89-111
vs Los Angeles Clippers
Feb 20, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 247
125-122
vs Dallas Mavericks
Feb 12, 2026 · Margin: +20 · Total: 228
124-104
vs San Antonio Spurs
Feb 10, 2026 · Margin: -28 · Total: 244
108-136
vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Feb 9, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 229
110-119
vs Golden State Warriors
Feb 7, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 204
105-99
vs Philadelphia 76ers
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 234
119-115
@ Brooklyn Nets
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: +16 · Total: 234
125-109
Warriors
@ Memphis Grizzlies
Feb 25, 2026 · Margin: +21 · Total: 245
133-112
@ New Orleans Pelicans
Feb 24, 2026 · Margin: -4 · Total: 222
109-113
vs Denver Nuggets
Feb 22, 2026 · Margin: +11 · Total: 245
128-117
vs Boston Celtics
Feb 19, 2026 · Margin: -11 · Total: 231
110-121
vs San Antonio Spurs
Feb 11, 2026 · Margin: -13 · Total: 239
113-126
vs Memphis Grizzlies
Feb 9, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 227
114-113
@ Los Angeles Lakers
Feb 7, 2026 · Margin: -6 · Total: 204
99-105
@ Phoenix Suns
Feb 5, 2026 · Margin: +4 · Total: 198
101-97
vs Philadelphia 76ers
Feb 3, 2026 · Margin: -19 · Total: 207
94-113
vs Detroit Pistons
Jan 30, 2026 · Margin: -7 · Total: 255
124-131