Final Score: Celtics 121 - Warriors 110
Thursday, February 19, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET

Celtics @ Warriors

NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Celtics
35-19 Rating 1714
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
56%
44%
Projected margin: Boston Celtics +0.3
Warriors
29-26 Rating 1531
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Celtics Warriors
All-time wins 61 49
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average points 108.2 104.9
Last meeting 125 85

Key Season Stats

Stat Celtics Warriors
Games played 54 55
Avg points scored 115.3 115.5
Avg points conceded 108.4 113.7
Win percentage 65% 53%
Away win % / Home win % 63% 64%