Final Score: Warriors 115 - Mavericks 123
Thursday, January 22, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET
Warriors @ Mavericks
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Warriors | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 94 | 98 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 108.1 | 109.1 |
| Last meeting | 126 | 116 |
| Stat | Warriors | Mavericks |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 45 | 44 |
| Avg points scored | 116.9 | 114.2 |
| Avg points conceded | 114.0 | 116.6 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 41% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 38% | 54% |
Recent Results
Warriors
vs Toronto Raptors
Jan 20, 2026 · Margin: -18 · Total: 272
127-145
vs Miami Heat
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: +23 · Total: 247
135-112
vs Charlotte Hornets
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +20 · Total: 252
136-116
vs New York Knicks
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: +13 · Total: 239
126-113
vs Portland Trail Blazers
Jan 13, 2026 · Margin: +22 · Total: 216
119-97
vs Atlanta Hawks
Jan 11, 2026 · Margin: -13 · Total: 235
111-124
vs Sacramento Kings
Jan 9, 2026 · Margin: +34 · Total: 240
137-103
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Jan 7, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 233
120-113
@ Los Angeles Clippers
Jan 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 205
102-103
vs Utah Jazz
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 237
123-114
Mavericks
@ New York Knicks
Jan 19, 2026 · Margin: +17 · Total: 211
114-97
vs Utah Jazz
Jan 17, 2026 · Margin: +18 · Total: 258
138-120
vs Utah Jazz
Jan 15, 2026 · Margin: +22 · Total: 266
144-122
vs Denver Nuggets
Jan 14, 2026 · Margin: -9 · Total: 227
109-118
vs Brooklyn Nets
Jan 12, 2026 · Margin: +8 · Total: 218
113-105
@ Chicago Bulls
Jan 10, 2026 · Margin: -18 · Total: 232
107-125
@ Utah Jazz
Jan 8, 2026 · Margin: -2 · Total: 230
114-116
@ Sacramento Kings
Jan 6, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 198
100-98
vs Houston Rockets
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +6 · Total: 214
110-104
vs Philadelphia 76ers
Jan 1, 2026 · Margin: -15 · Total: 231
108-123