Final Score: Hawks 124 - Warriors 111
Sunday, January 11, 2026 at 8:30 PM ET
Hawks @ Warriors
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Hawks | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 49 | 55 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 107.3 | 108.2 |
| Last meeting | 124 | 115 |
| Stat | Hawks | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 40 | 39 |
| Avg points scored | 118.2 | 115.5 |
| Avg points conceded | 118.5 | 113.4 |
| Win percentage | 48% | 54% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 55% | 72% |
Recent Results
Hawks
@ Denver Nuggets
Jan 9, 2026 · Margin: +23 · Total: 197
110-87
vs New Orleans Pelicans
Jan 7, 2026 · Margin: +17 · Total: 217
117-100
@ Toronto Raptors
Jan 5, 2026 · Margin: -18 · Total: 218
100-118
@ Toronto Raptors
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: -17 · Total: 251
117-134
@ New York Knicks
Jan 2, 2026 · Margin: +12 · Total: 210
111-99
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: +24 · Total: 228
126-102
@ Oklahoma City Thunder
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: -11 · Total: 269
129-140
vs New York Knicks
Dec 27, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 253
125-128
vs Miami Heat
Dec 26, 2025 · Margin: -15 · Total: 237
111-126
vs Chicago Bulls
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 249
123-126
Warriors
vs Sacramento Kings
Jan 9, 2026 · Margin: +34 · Total: 240
137-103
vs Milwaukee Bucks
Jan 7, 2026 · Margin: +7 · Total: 233
120-113
@ Los Angeles Clippers
Jan 5, 2026 · Margin: -1 · Total: 205
102-103
vs Utah Jazz
Jan 3, 2026 · Margin: +9 · Total: 237
123-114
vs Oklahoma City Thunder
Jan 2, 2026 · Margin: -37 · Total: 225
94-131
@ Charlotte Hornets
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 257
132-125
@ Brooklyn Nets
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 227
120-107
@ Toronto Raptors
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 268
127-141
vs Dallas Mavericks
Dec 25, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 242
126-116
vs Orlando Magic
Dec 22, 2025 · Margin: +23 · Total: 217
120-97