Final Score: Thunder 131 - Warriors 94
Friday, January 2, 2026 at 10:00 PM ET
Thunder @ Warriors
NBA model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Thunder | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 132 | 97 |
| Last 5 meetings | 3 | 2 |
| Average points | 109.5 | 107.3 |
| Last meeting | 124 | 112 |
| Stat | Thunder | Warriors |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 34 | 34 |
| Avg points scored | 122.1 | 115.6 |
| Avg points conceded | 107.5 | 113.4 |
| Win percentage | 85% | 53% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 80% | 71% |
Recent Results
Thunder
vs Portland Trail Blazers
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: +29 · Total: 219
124-95
vs Atlanta Hawks
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: +11 · Total: 269
140-129
vs Philadelphia 76ers
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: +25 · Total: 233
129-104
vs San Antonio Spurs
Dec 25, 2025 · Margin: -15 · Total: 219
102-117
@ San Antonio Spurs
Dec 23, 2025 · Margin: -20 · Total: 240
110-130
vs Memphis Grizzlies
Dec 22, 2025 · Margin: +16 · Total: 222
119-103
@ Minnesota Timberwolves
Dec 19, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 219
107-112
vs Los Angeles Clippers
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: +21 · Total: 223
122-101
vs San Antonio Spurs
Dec 13, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 220
109-111
vs Phoenix Suns
Dec 10, 2025 · Margin: +49 · Total: 227
138-89
Warriors
@ Charlotte Hornets
Dec 31, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 257
132-125
@ Brooklyn Nets
Dec 29, 2025 · Margin: +13 · Total: 227
120-107
@ Toronto Raptors
Dec 28, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 268
127-141
vs Dallas Mavericks
Dec 25, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 242
126-116
vs Orlando Magic
Dec 22, 2025 · Margin: +23 · Total: 217
120-97
vs Phoenix Suns
Dec 20, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 235
119-116
@ Phoenix Suns
Dec 18, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 197
98-99
@ Portland Trail Blazers
Dec 14, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 267
131-136
vs Minnesota Timberwolves
Dec 12, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 247
120-127
@ Chicago Bulls
Dec 7, 2025 · Margin: +32 · Total: 214
123-91