Nationals @ Phillies
Nationals
Model Probability
Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies +1.1
| Date | Matchup | Result | Winner | Model Projection | Stage |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 2026 | 3–6 | Phillies +3 | Phillies +1.0 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 2, 2026 | 8–0 | Phillies +8 | Phillies +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Aug 1, 2026 | 5–0 | Phillies +5 | Phillies +0.1 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 31, 2026 | 4–6 | Orioles +2 | Phillies +0.2 | Regular Season | |
| Jul 29, 2026 | 6–8 | Marlins +2 | Phillies +0.3 | Regular Season |
| Matchup | Record | Win % | Vs Expected | Games |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Phillies Mets | 482-498-4 | 49.2% | -9.7 | 925 |
| Phillies Nationals | 511-463-7 | 52.5% | +6.0 | 920 |
| Phillies Braves | 401-441-7 | 47.6% | -6.4 | 813 |
| Phillies Cardinals | 326-346-7 | 48.5% | -3.8 | 648 |
| Phillies Cubs | 347-314 | 52.5% | +10.5 | 630 |