Final Score: Cubs 1 - Guardians 0
Sunday, April 5, 2026 at 1:10 PM ET

Cubs @ Guardians

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
3-4 Rating 1521
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: Cleveland Guardians +0.3
Guardians
5-3 Rating 1528
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Guardians
All-time wins 23 24
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.6 4.0
Last meeting 1 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Guardians
Games played 7 8
Avg runs scored 4.4 3.2
Avg runs conceded 4.0 3.8
Win percentage 43% 62%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 100%