Final Score: Dodgers 5 - Phillies 3
Saturday, October 4, 2025 at 6:38 PM ET
Dodgers @ Phillies
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Dodgers | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 281 | 268 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.4 | 4.2 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 0 |
| Stat | Dodgers | Phillies |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 164 | 162 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.1 | 4.8 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.2 | 4.0 |
| Win percentage | 58% | 59% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 51% | 68% |
Recent Results
Dodgers
vs Cincinnati Reds
Oct 1, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 12
8-4
vs Cincinnati Reds
Sep 30, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 15
10-5
@ Seattle Mariners
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +5 · Total: 7
6-1
@ Seattle Mariners
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Seattle Mariners
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 5
3-2
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: +8 · Total: 8
8-0
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs San Francisco Giants
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 4
1-3
vs San Francisco Giants
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 12
7-5
Phillies
vs Minnesota Twins
Sep 28, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs Minnesota Twins
Sep 27, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5
vs Minnesota Twins
Sep 26, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 4
3-1
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 25, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1-0
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 24, 2025 · Margin: +10 · Total: 12
11-1
vs Miami Marlins
Sep 23, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 11
5-6
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 21, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 11
2-9
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 20, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ Arizona Diamondbacks
Sep 19, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 10
8-2
@ Los Angeles Dodgers
Sep 17, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 5
0-5