Final Score: Blue Jays 4 - Orioles 16
Tuesday, July 29, 2025 at 12:35 PM ET

Blue Jays @ Orioles

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Blue Jays
63-44 Rating 1532
Form: WWWLL
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Toronto Blue Jays +0.1
Orioles
48-58 Rating 1504
Form: WLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Blue Jays Orioles
All-time wins 397 342
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.7 4.5
Last meeting 4 11

Key Season Stats

Stat Blue Jays Orioles
Games played 107 106
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.3
Avg runs conceded 4.4 5.0
Win percentage 59% 45%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 49%