Final Score: Yankees 5 - Blue Jays 8
Thursday, July 3, 2025 at 7:07 PM ET
Yankees @ Blue Jays
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Yankees | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 400 | 331 |
| Last 5 meetings | 2 | 3 |
| Average runs | 4.8 | 4.4 |
| Last meeting | 9 | 11 |
| Stat | Yankees | Blue Jays |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 86 | 86 |
| Avg runs scored | 5.1 | 4.6 |
| Avg runs conceded | 3.9 | 4.5 |
| Win percentage | 56% | 56% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 51% | 64% |
Recent Results
Yankees
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 20
9-11
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jul 1, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 17
5-12
@ Toronto Blue Jays
Jun 30, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
vs Athletics
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 17
12-5
vs Athletics
Jun 28, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 7
0-7
vs Athletics
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: +3 · Total: 3
3-0
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jun 25, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 8
7-1
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jun 24, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Cincinnati Reds
Jun 23, 2025 · Margin: -5 · Total: 7
1-6
vs Baltimore Orioles
Jun 22, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 6
4-2
Blue Jays
vs New York Yankees
Jul 2, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 20
11-9
vs New York Yankees
Jul 1, 2025 · Margin: +7 · Total: 17
12-5
vs New York Yankees
Jun 30, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 9
5-4
@ Boston Red Sox
Jun 29, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Boston Red Sox
Jun 28, 2025 · Margin: -14 · Total: 16
1-15
@ Boston Red Sox
Jun 27, 2025 · Margin: +9 · Total: 9
9-0
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jun 26, 2025 · Margin: +6 · Total: 6
6-0
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jun 25, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 9
4-5
@ Cleveland Guardians
Jun 24, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 16
10-6
vs Chicago White Sox
Jun 22, 2025 · Margin: -2 · Total: 6
2-4