Final Score: Mariners 2 - Astros 9
Thursday, May 22, 2025 at 8:10 PM ET

Mariners @ Astros

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mariners
28-20 Rating 1530
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: Houston Astros +0.3
Astros
25-24 Rating 1535
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mariners Astros
All-time wins 91 131
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 3.9 4.6
Last meeting 7 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Mariners Astros
Games played 48 49
Avg runs scored 4.7 4.0
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.7
Win percentage 58% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 62%