Final Score: Mariners 6 - Padres 1
Sunday, May 18, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET

Mariners @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mariners
25-19 Rating 1527
Form: LWLWW
Model Probability
43%
57%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.5
Padres
27-17 Rating 1551
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mariners Padres
All-time wins 70 63
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.7 3.9
Last meeting 4 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Mariners Padres
Games played 44 44
Avg runs scored 4.8 4.5
Avg runs conceded 4.4 3.5
Win percentage 57% 61%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 70%