Final Score: Mariners 5 - Padres 1
Friday, May 16, 2025 at 9:40 PM ET
Mariners @ Padres
MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Model Prediction Through Season
| Stat | Mariners | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| All-time wins | 68 | 63 |
| Last 5 meetings | 4 | 1 |
| Average runs | 4.7 | 4.0 |
| Last meeting | 5 | 2 |
| Stat | Mariners | Padres |
|---|---|---|
| Games played | 42 | 42 |
| Avg runs scored | 4.8 | 4.7 |
| Avg runs conceded | 4.5 | 3.5 |
| Win percentage | 55% | 64% |
| Away win % / Home win % | 56% | 76% |
Recent Results
Mariners
vs New York Yankees
May 14, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 5
2-3
vs New York Yankees
May 13, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2-1
vs New York Yankees
May 12, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 16
5-11
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 11, 2025 · Margin: -8 · Total: 10
1-9
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 10, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
vs Toronto Blue Jays
May 9, 2025 · Margin: -3 · Total: 9
3-6
@ Athletics
May 7, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 11
6-5
@ Athletics
May 6, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5-3
@ Athletics
May 5, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 13
6-7
@ Texas Rangers
May 4, 2025 · Margin: -7 · Total: 9
1-8
Padres
vs Los Angeles Angels
May 14, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 6
5-1
vs Los Angeles Angels
May 13, 2025 · Margin: +2 · Total: 10
6-4
vs Los Angeles Angels
May 12, 2025 · Margin: -4 · Total: 14
5-9
@ Colorado Rockies
May 11, 2025 · Margin: -6 · Total: 12
3-9
@ Colorado Rockies
May 10, 2025 · Margin: +21 · Total: 21
21-0
@ Colorado Rockies
May 9, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 22
13-9
@ New York Yankees
May 7, 2025 · Margin: -1 · Total: 7
3-4
@ New York Yankees
May 6, 2025 · Margin: -9 · Total: 15
3-12
@ New York Yankees
May 5, 2025 · Margin: +1 · Total: 7
4-3
@ Pittsburgh Pirates
May 4, 2025 · Margin: +4 · Total: 4
4-0