Final Score: Rays 4 - Marlins 0
Saturday, May 17, 2025 at 4:10 PM ET

Rays @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
20-24 Rating 1513
Form: LWLWL
Model Probability
54%
46%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.4
Marlins
17-26 Rating 1447
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Marlins
All-time wins 81 61
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.7 4.3
Last meeting 4 9

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Marlins
Games played 44 43
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.2
Avg runs conceded 4.2 5.8
Win percentage 45% 40%
Away win % / Home win % 56% 48%