Final Score: Rays 4 - Marlins 9
Friday, May 16, 2025 at 7:10 PM ET

Rays @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Rays
20-23 Rating 1515
Form: WLWLW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: Tampa Bay Rays +0.4
Marlins
16-26 Rating 1444
Form: WLLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Rays Marlins
All-time wins 81 60
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.7 4.2
Last meeting 2 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Rays Marlins
Games played 43 42
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.1
Avg runs conceded 4.0 5.8
Win percentage 47% 38%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 45%