Final Score: Marlins 3 - Cubs 1
Wednesday, May 14, 2025 at 7:40 PM ET

Marlins @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
15-26 Rating 1442
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
37%
63%
Projected margin: Chicago Cubs +1.0
Cubs
25-18 Rating 1520
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Cubs
All-time wins 118 124
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.2 4.7
Last meeting 4 5

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Cubs
Games played 41 43
Avg runs scored 4.1 5.7
Avg runs conceded 5.9 4.4
Win percentage 37% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 26% 57%