Final Score: Mets 2 - Marlins 4
Tuesday, April 1, 2025 at 6:40 PM ET

Mets @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Mets
2-2 Rating 1531
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
55%
45%
Projected margin: New York Mets +0.5
Marlins
3-2 Rating 1456
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Mets Marlins
All-time wins 286 241
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.5 3.9
Last meeting 10 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Mets Marlins
Games played 4 5
Avg runs scored 3.8 4.0
Avg runs conceded 2.5 4.8
Win percentage 50% 60%
Away win % / Home win % 50% 60%