Final Score: Marlins 4 - Mets 5
Wednesday, September 28, 2022 at 7:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
64-90 Rating 1433
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
34%
66%
Projected margin: New York Mets +1.4
Mets
97-58 Rating 1541
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Mets
All-time wins 231 268
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 4.5
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Mets
Games played 154 155
Avg runs scored 3.6 4.8
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.8
Win percentage 42% 63%
Away win % / Home win % 42% 65%