Final Score: Marlins 7 - Nationals 10
Sunday, October 2, 2016 at 3:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
79-81 Rating 1471
Form: WLLWL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.9
Nationals
94-67 Rating 1534
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Nationals
All-time wins 207 184
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 1 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Nationals
Games played 160 161
Avg runs scored 4.0 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.8
Win percentage 49% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 61%