Final Score: Marlins 1 - Nationals 2
Saturday, October 1, 2016 at 4:05 PM ET

Marlins @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
79-80 Rating 1472
Form: WWLLW
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Washington Nationals +0.9
Nationals
93-67 Rating 1532
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Nationals
All-time wins 207 183
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 4.2
Last meeting 7 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Nationals
Games played 159 160
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.7
Avg runs conceded 4.2 3.8
Win percentage 50% 58%
Away win % / Home win % 49% 61%