Final Score: Marlins 5 - Red Sox 6
Thursday, June 21, 2012 at 7:10 PM ET

Marlins @ Red Sox

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Marlins
33-35 Rating 1475
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
39%
61%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.9
Red Sox
35-33 Rating 1537
Form: LWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Marlins Red Sox
All-time wins 10 19
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average runs 4.3 6.6
Last meeting 5 15

Key Season Stats

Stat Marlins Red Sox
Games played 68 68
Avg runs scored 3.7 5.2
Avg runs conceded 4.5 4.6
Win percentage 49% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 48% 46%