Final Score: Red Sox 4 - Cubs 3
Saturday, June 16, 2012 at 7:15 PM ET

Red Sox @ Cubs

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Red Sox
31-33 Rating 1530
Form: LLWWL
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Boston Red Sox +0.7
Cubs
22-42 Rating 1443
Form: WWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Red Sox Cubs
All-time wins 3 4
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 6.1 5.7
Last meeting 0 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Red Sox Cubs
Games played 64 64
Avg runs scored 5.0 3.7
Avg runs conceded 4.6 4.5
Win percentage 48% 34%
Away win % / Home win % 55% 45%