Final Score: Cubs 2 - Padres 9
Wednesday, September 28, 2011 at 8:35 PM ET

Cubs @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
71-90 Rating 1466
Form: WLLLW
Model Probability
46%
54%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.3
Padres
70-91 Rating 1469
Form: LWLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Padres
All-time wins 244 200
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 3.9
Last meeting 6 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Padres
Games played 161 161
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.6
Avg runs conceded 4.6 3.8
Win percentage 44% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 40% 42%