Final Score: Cubs 6 - Padres 2
Tuesday, September 27, 2011 at 10:05 PM ET

Cubs @ Padres

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Cubs
70-90 Rating 1464
Form: WWLLL
Model Probability
45%
55%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.3
Padres
70-90 Rating 1471
Form: WLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Cubs Padres
All-time wins 243 200
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.5 3.9
Last meeting 0 2

Key Season Stats

Stat Cubs Padres
Games played 160 160
Avg runs scored 4.0 3.6
Avg runs conceded 4.7 3.8
Win percentage 44% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 39% 43%