Final Score: Phillies 5 - Marlins 3
Friday, September 2, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Marlins

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
87-46 Rating 1591
Form: LWWWW
Model Probability
61%
39%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.9
Marlins
60-76 Rating 1468
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Marlins
All-time wins 163 135
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 5.3 4.6
Last meeting 5 6

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Marlins
Games played 133 136
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.3 4.5
Win percentage 65% 44%
Away win % / Home win % 63% 38%