Final Score: Phillies 6 - Reds 4
Thursday, September 1, 2011 at 12:35 PM ET

Phillies @ Reds

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
86-46 Rating 1589
Form: LLWWW
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.8
Reds
67-69 Rating 1492
Form: WWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Reds
All-time wins 198 244
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.4 4.5
Last meeting 3 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Reds
Games played 132 136
Avg runs scored 4.5 4.6
Avg runs conceded 3.2 4.4
Win percentage 65% 49%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 53%