Final Score: Phillies 4 - Nationals 5
Sunday, August 21, 2011 at 1:35 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
81-43 Rating 1589
Form: LWWLW
Model Probability
62%
38%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Nationals
60-64 Rating 1456
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 385 338
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 5 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 124 124
Avg runs scored 4.5 3.9
Avg runs conceded 3.3 4.1
Win percentage 65% 48%
Away win % / Home win % 62% 58%