Final Score: Yankees 5 - Mets 1
Friday, July 1, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Yankees @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Yankees
48-31 Rating 1581
Form: WWWWW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: New York Yankees +0.7
Mets
41-40 Rating 1488
Form: WWWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Yankees Mets
All-time wins 51 35
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.9 4.3
Last meeting 9 3

Key Season Stats

Stat Yankees Mets
Games played 79 81
Avg runs scored 5.3 4.6
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.4
Win percentage 61% 51%
Away win % / Home win % 61% 47%