Final Score: Phillies 2 - Nationals 10
Tuesday, May 31, 2011 at 7:05 PM ET

Phillies @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
34-20 Rating 1569
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
63%
37%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +1.0
Nationals
22-31 Rating 1431
Form: LWLLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Nationals
All-time wins 383 334
Last 5 meetings 5 0
Average runs 4.4 4.2
Last meeting 5 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Nationals
Games played 54 53
Avg runs scored 4.2 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.4 4.2
Win percentage 63% 42%
Away win % / Home win % 60% 50%