Final Score: Phillies 5 - Mets 2
Saturday, May 28, 2011 at 7:10 PM ET

Phillies @ Mets

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Phillies
32-19 Rating 1568
Form: WLWWW
Model Probability
57%
43%
Projected margin: Philadelphia Phillies +0.7
Mets
23-27 Rating 1476
Form: LLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Phillies Mets
All-time wins 367 351
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average runs 4.2 4.2
Last meeting 6 4

Key Season Stats

Stat Phillies Mets
Games played 51 50
Avg runs scored 4.1 4.0
Avg runs conceded 3.3 4.5
Win percentage 63% 46%
Away win % / Home win % 59% 43%