Final Score: Padres 5 - Nationals 4
Sunday, May 29, 2011 at 1:35 PM ET

Padres @ Nationals

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Padres
21-31 Rating 1480
Form: LLWLW
Model Probability
52%
48%
Projected margin: San Diego Padres +0.3
Nationals
22-29 Rating 1435
Form: LLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Padres Nationals
All-time wins 206 223
Last 5 meetings 2 3
Average runs 4.0 4.1
Last meeting 2 1

Key Season Stats

Stat Padres Nationals
Games played 52 51
Avg runs scored 3.3 3.8
Avg runs conceded 3.9 4.2
Win percentage 40% 43%
Away win % / Home win % 52% 55%